The visitors had their revenge in last weekend’s wild card round of the NFL playoffs, going a perfect 4-0 against the spread and winning both of Saturday’s games straight up. This weekend should be much more difficult for the road teams though, with the top two seeds from each conference finally beginning their journey toward Super Bowl 52.
Odds courtesy of OddsShark.com
In fact, the defending NFC champion Atlanta Falcons (11-6) are the lone road team favored in the divisional round, and that is only because the top-seeded Philadelphia Eagles (13-3) are playing without their top player in injured quarterback Carson Wentz. The Falcons are 3-point road chalk against the Eagles in the early game on Saturday and have gone 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four Saturday games after upsetting the Los Angeles Rams 26-13 last week as 6-point road underdogs.
The top two seeds in the AFC are huge home favorites, starting with the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots (13-3) versus the Tennessee Titans (10-7) on Saturday night. The Patriots are listed as 14-point home chalk, and they have won the past five home meetings (4-1 ATS) with the Titans, who are coming off a 22-21 upset of the Kansas City Chiefs last Saturday as 8.5-point road dogs. However, Tennessee has gone a disappointing 7-20-1 ATS in its last 28 games after a win.
On Sunday, the Pittsburgh Steelers (13-3) will then host the Jacksonville Jaguars (11-6) in a rematch of a surprising 30-9 home loss in Week 5. The Steelers were 7.5-point favorites in the first meeting and sit in the same exact spot this time around despite failing to cover the spread in 12 of the previous 17 head-to-head matchups. The Jaguars edged the Buffalo Bills 10-3 last week but did not cover as 8.5-point home favorites, and they have won four of the last five times they have visited Heinz Field.
Ending the divisional round will be the New Orleans Saints (12-5) visiting the Minnesota Vikings (13-3) as 4-point road underdogs. The Saints beat the Carolina Panthers for the third time last Sunday 31-26 but fell short of covering as 6.5-point home chalk. The Vikings have dropped four of the past five meetings SU, but they ended a four-game series skid with a 29-19 win over New Orleans as 3-point home favorites in Week 1.