The 92nd Academy Awards are just a few weeks away, scheduled for February 9. With no one in particular set to host, the top achievements in film making are set to take home some little gold men or just be happy to be nominated. We’re taking a look at the top categories, odds care of Bodog, as well as one of their best special props available.
The top two favorites for Best Picture make a lot of sense. While Joker is nominated for the most awards, it lost out to 1917 at the Golden Globes. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood took home best comedy, and as opposed to the foreign press at the Globes, the Academy loves Hollywood naval gazing. Considering Quentin Tarantino promises his next movie will be his last, I’d bet on Hollywood to take home the gold, and him best director (+650) as well.
Odds To Win Best Picture
Once Upon A Time In Hollywood +155
1917 +190
Parasite +400
Joker +750
The Irishman +1400
Marriage Story +3000
Jojo Rabbit +4000
Little Women +6600
Ford V Ferrari +7500
The nominees for Best Actor at the Oscars don’t reflect what the Globes were looking at. Taron Egerton, who beat Leonardo DiCaprio for best actor in a musical or comedy, isn’t even nominated. That makes Joaquin Phoenix’s Joker a huge favorite, especially as the only name on this list he didn’t beat this year is DiCaprio.
Odds To Win Best Actor
Joaquin Phoenix (Joker) -1000
Adam Driver (Marriage Story) +600
Antonio Banderas (Pain And Glory) +1500
Leonardo DiCaprio (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood) +2000
Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes) +2500
Again, the odds are pretty to understand for Best Actress. Zellweger won at the globes, and she beat every woman on this list to do so. And as we noted above, Hollywood loves naval gazing, and a movie about Judy Garland is a great spot to do that on. This looks like a lock.
Odds To Win Best Actress
Winner
Renée Zellweger (Judy) -800
Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story) +600
Cynthia Erivo (Harriet) +1300
Charlize Theron (Bombshell) +1500
Saoirse Ronan (Little Women) +2500
If it was me, this category goes to Al Pacino, who I thought delivered the best performance of Irishman, which took me about 3 weeks to watch. This is the category with the closest odds, considering it again has a clear favorite after the Globes in Brad Pitt, and maybe that because the academy has some of its favorite actors ever competing to take him down. If you want to bet on a long shot anywhere, this might be the place to do it.
Odds To Win Best Supporting Actor
Brad Pitt (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood) -650
Joe Pesci (The Irishman) +600
Al Pacino (The Irishman) +1100
Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood) +1500
Anthony Hopkins (The Two Popes) +2000
Again, we have a pretty easy category, with Laura Dern having won at the Globes. But what’s different is the longshots, as Scarlett Johansson wasn’t nominated for Jojo Rabbit there, and Florence Pugh wasn’t nominated at all. Could they have made this list to win in an upset? Or did someone have inside info that Pugh would post nudes on Instagram if she was nominated?
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Odds To Win Best Supporting Actress
Laura Dern (Marriage Story) -700
Florence Pugh (Little Women) +750
Margot Robbie (Bombshell) +1000
Scarlett Johansson (Jojo Rabbit) +1000
Kathy Bates (Richard Jewell) +3300
Finally, the one category that doesn’t have a clear favorite, possibly because there’s no single host we can analyze. Any of these could be mentioned by a host, presenter, or winner, so there’s a good chance atleast one squeaks through. Which will be first?
First, what looks like longshots? A reference to Chet Hanks, possibly for his patois skills, seems unlikely. Too many people in the room would have been friendly with Harvey Weinstein for him to be a polite topic. Puerto Rico, while still needing help, seems unlikely. And neither Thurnberg or Gervais seem likely at all. And with matters in Iran seeming relatively stable right now, I wouldn’t bet that.
So we move on to the favorites. Wildfires, although over a month removed from when it was the biggest story in the news, could be named by any Aussie that wins, so it makes sense as a slight favorite. But with 2020 being an election year, it seems very likely that either Climate Change or Donald Trump could get dropped in first by an American, and I’d bet on an environmentalist sealing up this category for the former.
SPECIAL – What/Who Will Be Mentioned First?
Australia Wildfires +175
Climate Change +200
Donald Trump +300
Iran And/Or Iraq +500
Ricky Gervais +1500
Greta Thunberg +2000
Puerto Rico +2500
Harvey Weinstein +4000
Chet Hanks +5000
