With wins yesterday, Oakland has moved into a virtual tie with the Rays, and Arizona is now only 4 games back from a playoff spot. As I think those two teams, as well as the Indians and Mets, all have the most important matchups happening right now, we’ll stick with them as we take another look at the odds, thanks to Bovada.
After a loss yesterday, the Rockies (-1.5 +150 RL, -115 ML) are favored today against the Diamondbacks (+1.5 -170 RL, -105 ML). They lost yesterday mostly due to their bullpen, but are favored today thanks to Jon Gray (11-8, 3.84 ERA) starting. He goes up against Mike Leake (9-9, 4.64 ERA), who’s been atrocious since joining Arizona. This looks like it could be a very sloppy game, with the Rockies getting runs early, and Arizona looking for hits in the late innings. Pick the Rockies all the same, and the over (O/U 9.0).
The Indians (+1.5 -150 RL, +133 ML) took a beating from the Mets (-1.5 +130 RL, -153 ML) yesterday. The red hot Mets will start Marcus Stroman (7-11, 3.21 ERA), and he’s looking to pick up his second win for the team since joining them. Meanwhile, Cleveland has been strong since the All-Star break, but disastrous in New York, and they’ll start Adam Plutko (5-3, 4.67 ERA), who won against the Yankees most recently in large part due to run support. This looks like an easy win for the Mets, so pick them and the under (O/U 9.0).
Finally, Oakland (-1.5 +165 RL, -115 ML) took a game away from the Yankees (+1.5 -190 RL, -105 ML) yesterday against one of their aces, and they’ll be starting one of their own. Mike Fiers (11-3, 3.46 ERA) hasn’t lost in 18 starts, and he’s hoping to keep that record going against J.A. Happ (10-7, 5.40 ERA), which explains why the Yankees are favored to lose here. Considering Yankee bats didn’t get going yesterday, I expect that trend to continue here, so pick Oakland and the under (O/U 9.5).
Tonin’s record yesterday: 4-5
Tonin’s record this season: 81-64