UFC 202 Odds – McGregor vs. Diaz Prediction

TAGs: Bill Beatty, Conor McGregor, Nate Diaz, UFC 202

This Saturday, live from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas Nevada Conor McGregor and Nate Diaz step in the cage as the main even for UFC 202.

The Irishman is a slight favourite over the American with McGregor needing $130 to win $100 while Diaz is paying even money for the win.

Conor McGregor vs. Nate Diaz

Conor McGregor-130
Nate DiazEVEN

This fight was originally to take place at UFC 200 but McGregor took a stand against the excessive press conference demands by announcing his retirement from the sport. Clearly it was a publicity stunt but UFC boss Dana UFC 202 Odds - McGregor vs. Diaz Prediction White didn’t enjoy the joke. White pulled the fight from UFC 200 and once cooler heads prevailed, the Diaz-McGregor rematch was set to headline UFC 202.

The first fight back at UFC 196 shocked the UFC masses as Diaz withstood McGregor’s early onslaught and then Diaz slipped him into a choke once the featherweight king gassed out.

It’s hard to imagine this fight going much differently than the first. McGregor is a smaller man, despite his heavy hands at 145lbs; they don’t have the same stopping power at 170lbs. Diaz will have a full camp, unlike UFC 196 where he was drinking tequila just eight days prior.  The fact that McGregor is the favorite here says more about the betting public’s belief in the McGregor hype, and the money they’re dropping on him, than it says about his actual ability to come away with the victory.

Prediction: Nate Diaz 3rd Round submission.

Here are some other odds courtesy of if you’d like to make some bets outside of the win market.

Conor McGregor vs. Nate Diaz Fight Props

Method of Victory – 5 Rounds

Conor McGregor wins inside distance7/5
Conor McGregor wins by 5 round decision9/2
Nate Diaz wins inside distance6/5
Nate Diaz wins by 5 round decision6/1

Method of Victory

Conor McGregor wins by decision or technical decision9/2
Conor McGregor wins by KO, TKO or DQ3/2
Conor McGregor wins by submission15/1
Nate Diaz wins by decision or technical decision6/1
Nate Diaz wins by KO, TKO or DQ5/1
Nate Diaz wins by submission2/1
Draw or Technical draw75/1

Round Betting – 5 Rounds

Conor McGregor in Round 14/1
Conor McGregor in Round 26/1
Conor McGregor in Round 38/1
Conor McGregor in Round 414/1
Conor McGregor in Round 520/1
Conor McGregor on points9/2
Nate Diaz in Round 19/2
Nate Diaz in Round 213/2
Nate Diaz in Round 317/2
Nate Diaz in Round 417/2
Nate Diaz in Round 512/1
Nate Diaz on points6/1

Total Rounds

Over2.5 Rounds+110(11/10)
Under2.5 Round-155(20/31)

Fight to complete 1 full round


Fight to complete 2 full rounds


Fight to complete 3 full rounds


Fight to complete 4 full rounds


Will the fight go the distance?



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